Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.565709 1.945290 2.441586 3.159624 4.211630 5.768726 8.408861
2025-02-09 1.066311 1.462761 2.066550 3.126416 5.135010 9.346633 21.423298
2025-02-16 0.808169 1.173680 1.783689 2.998643 5.779024 13.659593 55.250728
2025-02-23 0.680157 1.033656 1.669593 3.083839 6.961852 22.403450 253.467711
2025-03-02 0.600036 0.947246 1.613461 3.251007 8.626216 40.822926 12144.963937
2025-03-09 0.528352 0.856864 1.517275 3.268328 9.932753 70.279564 NaN
2025-03-16 0.461962 0.762228 1.384401 3.120110 10.464053 105.692739 NaN
2025-03-23 0.428171 0.723757 1.363145 3.285110 12.890563 273.170232 NaN
2025-03-30 0.393154 0.676323 1.308544 3.320091 14.848442 779.010311 NaN
2025-04-06 0.357987 0.623030 1.227455 3.227094 15.890251 2321.032301 NaN
2025-04-13 0.329332 0.579430 1.161291 3.159928 17.162508 17043.858010 NaN
2025-04-20 0.318877 0.573185 1.188883 3.473129 23.514872 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.304689 0.557313 1.189376 3.694268 30.949430 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.284911 0.526326 1.141851 3.678026 35.380478 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.263839 0.489951 1.072257 3.522367 36.662106 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.251679 0.472915 1.055772 3.630081 45.957873 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.242834 0.462574 1.057113 3.840793 63.369919 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.230906 0.443431 1.027676 3.862702 76.401451 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.216252 0.416239 0.968497 3.675871 76.817578 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.209935 0.408912 0.971495 3.883915 111.802763 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.201355 0.395062 0.950765 3.928153 142.346062 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.191054 0.375976 0.909678 3.810649 153.265347 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.182069 0.359533 0.875277 3.725984 170.320858 NaN NaN